Country Risk - Ecuador
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Ecuador

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Political Risk (1 to 7)

Short term

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Medium/long Term

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Special Transactions

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Premium Classification OECD

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Commercial Risk (A to C)

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Direct Investments (1 to 7)

Political Violence Risk

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Expropriation Risk

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Currency Inconvertibility and Transfer Restriction Risk

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Risk assessment

16 May 2019

Ecuador: Despite ongoing structural reforms, economic and political challenges will not disappear quickly

President Moreno is facing a strained political situation, which is likely to become tenser in the run-up to the 2021 general elections.

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Risk Monthly

08 Feb 2018

Ecuador: Referendum results likely to boost president Moreno and his agenda to pursue fiscal consolidation and revive the moribund economy

Event On Sunday 4 February, Ecuadorians voted overwhelmingly in favour of all seven questions put to voters in a referendum. One of the most tangible ...

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Risk Monthly

04 Apr 2017

Ecuador: Continuity of the leftist citizens’ revolution faces headwinds

Event Lenín Boltaire Moreno, the leftist candidate, has claimed victory in the second round of Ecuador’s polarising presidential run-off. He is ...

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Country News

10 Aug 2016

Ecuador: Short-term political risk: upgrade from 6 to 5

Despite full dollarisation of the economy, the liquidity risk in Ecuador is relatively elevated. In fact, plummeting oil prices that exacerbated ...

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Risk Monthly

02 May 2016

Ecuador: Earthquake adds human tragedy to economic woes

Event On 16 April, a devastating 7.8-magnitude earthquake struck Ecuador's north-west. Large human losses have been recorded, with over 650 confirmed ...

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Country News

01 Feb 2016

Ecuador: Short-term political risk: downgrade from 4 to 6

Fear about Ecuador’s liquidity position as a result of detrimental external dynamics has been translated into the country’s 2-notche downgrade. ...

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Risk Monthly

01 Jan 2015

Ecuador: Dollarization and fiscal imbalances add extra sting to plunging oil prices

Event The spectacular drop in oil prices witnessed in the second half of 2014 – a barrel of WTI crude cost more than USD 100 at the end of June, ...

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