Country Risk - India
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India

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Political Risk (1 to 7)

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Premium Classification OECD

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Commercial Risk (A to C)

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Direct Investments (1 to 7)

Political Violence Risk

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Expropriation Risk

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Currency Inconvertibility and Transfer Restriction Risk

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Risk Monthly

27 May 2019

India: Landslide victory at general elections for PM Modi and his BJP party

Event Incumbent PM Modi has been re-elected for a five-year term after his BJP party won the general elections in April-May 2019. Official results ...

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Risk Monthly

17 Oct 2018

India: Positive short-term economic outlook hindered by higher oil prices and currency pressures

Event This year, the Indian rupee (INR) has been one of Asia’s worst performing currencies with a loss of more than 15% against a strong US dollar ...

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Risk Monthly

23 Mar 2018

India: Punjab National Bank’s fraud and waning investor confidence will weigh on state bank recapitalisation plan and government budget

Event The Indian banking sector remains shaken by the Punjab National Bank’s (PNB) alleged fraud of about USD 2 bn that was revealed mid-February ...

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Risk Monthly

08 Nov 2017

India: State banks to benefit from a much larger recapitalisation

Event The government has announced a much-needed wider two-year recapitalisation plan for State banks (SOCBs). The necessary capital for the USD 32bn ...

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Risk assessment

26 Oct 2017

India: Modi in struggle to increase India’s growth potential

India’s growth keeps slowing down from elevated levels and this negative trend has accelerated since the end of 2016 due to two domestic shocks. ...

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Risk Monthly

04 Apr 2017

India: Ruling party’s crushing victory at key state election boosts PM Modi’s re-election prospect

Event PM Modi has obtained an unexpected landslide victory at the key state election in Uttar Pradesh (UP) in which his BJP party won 312 out of 403 ...

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Risk Monthly

01 Feb 2017

India: Slower growth and test polls at risk for PM Modi as a result of demonetisation

Event Nearly three months after the demonetisation measure was taken, its negative impact continues to be felt on the Indian economic activity. ...

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Risk Monthly

02 Dec 2016

India: Short-term economic growth sharply affected by cash shortage

Event The fight against black money, tax evasion and corruption led the Modi government to ban the two largest bank notes (Rs 500 and 1,000) in a ...

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Risk Monthly

01 Sep 2016

India: Major fiscal reform improves the outlook for business and public finances

Event The long-awaited Goods and Services Tax (GST) reform has decisively moved forward after the bill successfully passed the Parliament’s upper ...

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Risk Monthly

02 May 2016

India: Outlook to stay robust amid corporate risks and stalling reforms

Event The latest economic forecasts confirmed India’s upbeat momentum as GDP growth is expected to rise from 7.3% last financial year (FY) to 7.5% ...

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Risk Monthly

01 Dec 2015

India: Setback for Modi after defeat in the Bihar election

Event With barely less than a quarter of the seats, Modi’s BJP Party (within the NDA alliance) has been heavily defeated by a large regional ...

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Risk assessment

28 Apr 2015

India: Upbeat momentum and returned confidence amid structural challenges

Unlike other BRIC countries, India’s short-term economic outlook is upbeat under a favourable economic context (e.g. sharp fall in oil prices), ...

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