Short-term political risk: multiple downgrades as emerging markets see liquidity squeeze amid covid-19 crisis
The current economic crisis provoked by the covid-19 pandemic combined with the commodity price shock is having a pronounced impact on the short-term ...
COUNTRIES :
Albanie
Aruba
Barbade
Belize
Chili
Colombie
Equateur
Egypte
Fidji
Géorgie
Grenade
Guyana
Honduras
Jamaïque
Jordanie
Kazakhstan
Kenya
Kirghizstan
Malaisie
Maldives
Myanmar
Nauru
Macédoine
Oman
Palau
St-Vincent et les Grenadines
Samoa (américaines)
Samoa (occidentales)
Sénégal
Sri Lanka
Tonga
Ouganda
Vanuatu
Brésil
Ste-Lucie
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Latin America: Region is likely to face a harsh recession, liquidity constraints and deteriorating public finances
Region quickly enacted harsh containment measures
COUNTRIES :
Argentine
Bolivie
Brésil
Chili
Colombie
Costa Rica
Cuba
Equateur
Guatemala
Honduras
Mexique
Nicaragua
Panama
Paraguay
Pérou
Dominicaine (république)
Uruguay
Venezuela
El Salvador
Surinam
Belize
Anguilla
Antigua et Barbuda
Aruba
Bahamas
Barbade
Bermudes
Pays-Bas caribéens
Caïmanes (îles)
Curaçao (NL)
Dominique
Grenade
Guadeloupe
Haïti
Jamaïque
Martinique
Montserrat
Porto Rico
St.Maarten (NL)
St.Maarten (FR)
St-Kitts et Nevis
Ste-Lucie
St-Vincent et les Grenadines
Trinité et Tobago
Turques et Caïques (îles)
Vierges (américaines) (îles)
Vierges (britanniques) (îles)
Falkland (îles)
Guyane française
Guyana
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Malgré les réformes structurelles en cours, les enjeux économiques et politiques ne sont pas près de disparaître
Le Président Moreno est confronté à une situation politique tendue, qui risque de se durcir à l'approche des élections législatives de 2021.
COUNTRY:
Equateur
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Short-term political risk, June 2018
In the framework of its regular review of short-term (ST) political risk classifications, Credendo has upgraded eight countries (Ecuador, Honduras, ...
COUNTRIES :
Barbade
Chypre (Turque) (Nord)
Equateur
Guyana
Honduras
Kazakhstan
Mongolie
Myanmar
Nigéria
Swaziland
Ouzbékistan
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Ecuador: Referendum results likely to boost president Moreno and his agenda to pursue fiscal consolidation and revive the moribund economy
Event
On Sunday 4 February, Ecuadorians voted overwhelmingly in favour of all seven questions put to voters in a referendum. One of the most tangible ...
COUNTRY:
Equateur
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Ecuador: Continuity of the leftist citizens’ revolution faces headwinds
Event
Lenín Boltaire Moreno, the leftist candidate, has claimed victory in the second round of Ecuador’s polarising presidential run-off. He is ...
COUNTRY:
Equateur
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Short-term political risk: upgrade from 6 to 5
Despite full dollarisation of the economy, the liquidity risk in Ecuador is relatively elevated. In fact, plummeting oil prices that exacerbated ...
COUNTRIES :
Equateur
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Earthquake adds human tragedy to economic woes
Event
On 16 April, a devastating 7.8-magnitude earthquake struck Ecuador's north-west. Large human losses have been recorded, with over 650 confirmed ...
COUNTRY:
Equateur
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Country risk modifications: MLT political risk, Net oil & gas exporters
Dramatic oil price developments have led Credendo Group to review the medium- to long-term political risk classifications for net oil exporters. The ...
COUNTRIES :
Azerbaïdjan
Bahreïn
Equateur
Gabon
Kazakhstan
Malaisie
Mexique
Nigéria
Ouzbékistan
Papouasie-Nouvelle Guinée
Qatar
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Oil-producing countries: a worldwide assessment of risk and resilience
Oil prices are likely to remain at very low levels in 2016. That’s why Credendo Group recently reviewed short-term political risk classifications ...
COUNTRIES :
Algérie
Azerbaïdjan
Brunéi
Colombie
Equateur
Koweït
Oman
Qatar
Surinam
Trinité et Tobago
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Short-term political risk: downgrade from 4 to 6
Fear about Ecuador’s liquidity position as a result of detrimental external dynamics has been translated into the country’s 2-notche downgrade. ...
COUNTRIES :
Equateur
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Dollarization and fiscal imbalances add extra sting to plunging oil prices
Event
The spectacular drop in oil prices witnessed in the second half of 2014 – a barrel of WTI crude cost more than USD 100 at the end of June, ...
COUNTRY:
Equateur
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